Bismarck, ND · magnetic latitude 55.4°
Northern lights in Bismarck: tonight’s chance
Bismarck sits on the bluffs of the Missouri, close to a minor storm’s reach and with wide, empty country to the north.
Tonight at Bismarck, ND
…
Reading the SWPC Kp forecast and the cloud forecast…
| Kp forecast during the dark hours | not yet forecast |
|---|---|
| Kp needed here | 5.3 (G1 minor) |
| Cloud cover in the dark hours | loading |
| Dark sky (Sun 18° down) | 8:40 PM to 6:18 AM CDT |
| Moon | 13% lit |
| Right now, OVATION (30 to 90 min) | loading or unavailable |
| Magnetic latitude (AACGM) | 55.4° |
Hour by hour, CDT
8 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
9 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
10 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
11 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
12 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
1 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
2 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
3 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
4 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
5 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
6 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
Rules checked · Built by Radif Partners · How the answer works
- Kp to see it from Bismarck
- 5.3
- Storm level needed
- G1 (Minor)
- Kp for aurora overhead
- 5.3
- Most clear dark hours
- September
Bismarck needs a planetary Kp of about 5.3 to see the northern lights, a G1 (Minor) storm on the NOAA scale. North Dakota's capital lies at 55.4 degrees magnetic latitude in the AACGM model, slightly below Fargo's 55.8, because magnetic latitude falls off toward the west across the northern plains, and the aurora reaches overhead around Kp 5.3. The Missouri River runs through town between bluffs, and the high ground above it gives long views over country with few lights. Bismarck's sky is clearest in July, at 44% cloud amount in NASA POWER averages, and cloudiest in December, at 69%. Combining those figures with the dark hours, September, November and January offer the most clear dark sky over a typical year.
The view from the Missouri bluffs
Bismarck and Mandan face each other across the Missouri, and the river has cut a broad trench through the plains. The bluffs above it, on both banks, are the natural viewpoints for a storm night: from up there the city lights fall away below, and the northern horizon stretches across the Missouri Coteau. Upstream, the river widens into Lake Sakakawea, whose shores northwest of Bismarck are among the darkest places in the central part of the state.
What Kp does this town need?
Kp to see aurora from here
5.3
| Magnetic latitude (AACGM) | 55.4° |
| Kp for aurora overhead | 5.3 |
| Storm level | G1 Minor |
| How often that level comes | about 900 days per 11-year cycle |
View line: the more southern of the SWPC oval rule and the NOAA G scale latitudes at each Kp.
A western sky
Bismarck is in the Central time zone but far to its west, so its clock runs well ahead of the Sun: solar midnight falls closer to 1 am than to midnight, and the dark window on December 15 runs from 6:45 PM to 6:31 AM. The most active hours of the aurora, which SWPC places around local midnight, therefore come later on the clock than in Fargo. The tool's hour strip takes that into account. Weather comes mostly from the west and northwest, and the semi-arid western half of the state is drier than the Red River Valley, though wind is more frequent.
Practical notes for a storm night
Interstate 94 and the river bridges carry most of the area's night traffic, and their lights reach a surprising distance across open country. A gravel section road a few miles north of the interstate is usually darker than a park inside the city. In winter, check the road conditions before leaving: blowing snow can close rural roads within an hour on the plains, even under a clear sky, and the coldest clear nights are also the ones when a stalled car becomes dangerous. Phones lose charge fast in that cold, so keep a spare battery inside your coat.
From here to the border
Every hundred miles north from Bismarck lowers the Kp needed: Minot needs about 4.6. For a strong storm, Bismarck itself is enough; for a weak one, the drive toward the Canadian border or the Turtle Mountains pays off. The North Dakota page lists every town, and the Fargo page covers the east of the state.
Kp needed around Bismarck
| Town | Magnetic latitude | Kp to see it | Kp overhead | Storm level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Forks | 56.8° | 4.6 | 4.6 | no storm |
| Minot | 56.7° | 4.6 | 4.6 | no storm |
| Williston | 56.4° | 4.8 | 4.8 | G1 (Minor) |
| Fargo | 55.8° | 5.1 | 5.1 | G1 (Minor) |
| Bismarck | 55.4° | 5.3 | 5.3 | G1 (Minor) |
| Dickinson | 55.3° | 5.4 | 5.4 | G1 (Minor) |
Darkness and clouds by month in Bismarck
| Month | Dark hours | Dark sky, 15th | Mean cloud | Clear dark hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 11.4 h | 7:09 PM to 6:35 AM | 65% | 4.0 h |
| February | 10.2 h | 7:49 PM to 6:04 AM | 64% | 3.7 h |
| March | 8.7 h | 9:30 PM to 6:12 AM | 67% | 2.9 h |
| April | 6.6 h | 10:24 PM to 5:01 AM | 61% | 2.6 h |
| May | 4.3 h | 11:30 PM to 3:48 AM | 60% | 1.7 h |
| June | 2.4 h | 12:32 AM to 2:55 AM | 53% | 1.1 h |
| July | 3.4 h | 12:07 AM to 3:31 AM | 44% | 1.9 h |
| August | 5.8 h | 10:54 PM to 4:41 AM | 44% | 3.2 h |
| September | 8.0 h | 9:39 PM to 5:37 AM | 48% | 4.2 h |
| October | 9.7 h | 8:36 PM to 6:21 AM | 59% | 4.0 h |
| November | 11.1 h | 6:54 PM to 6:01 AM | 63% | 4.1 h |
| December | 11.8 h | 6:45 PM to 6:31 AM | 69% | 3.7 h |