Method and data updated on

Bismarck, ND · magnetic latitude 55.4°

Northern lights in Bismarck: tonight’s chance

Bismarck sits on the bluffs of the Missouri, close to a minor storm’s reach and with wide, empty country to the north.

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Tonight at Bismarck, ND

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Reading the SWPC Kp forecast and the cloud forecast…

Kp forecast during the dark hoursnot yet forecast
Kp needed here5.3 (G1 minor)
Cloud cover in the dark hoursloading
Dark sky (Sun 18° down)8:40 PM to 6:18 AM CDT
Moon13% lit
Right now, OVATION (30 to 90 min)loading or unavailable
Magnetic latitude (AACGM)55.4°

How this answer is builtPage for Bismarck, ND

Hour by hour, CDT

8 PM

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No

9 PM

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No

10 PM

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No

11 PM

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No

12 AM

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No

1 AM

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No

2 AM

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No

3 AM

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No

4 AM

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No

5 AM

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No

6 AM

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No

Rules checked · Built by Radif Partners · How the answer works

Kp to see it from Bismarck
5.3
Storm level needed
G1 (Minor)
Kp for aurora overhead
5.3
Most clear dark hours
September

Bismarck needs a planetary Kp of about 5.3 to see the northern lights, a G1 (Minor) storm on the NOAA scale. North Dakota's capital lies at 55.4 degrees magnetic latitude in the AACGM model, slightly below Fargo's 55.8, because magnetic latitude falls off toward the west across the northern plains, and the aurora reaches overhead around Kp 5.3. The Missouri River runs through town between bluffs, and the high ground above it gives long views over country with few lights. Bismarck's sky is clearest in July, at 44% cloud amount in NASA POWER averages, and cloudiest in December, at 69%. Combining those figures with the dark hours, September, November and January offer the most clear dark sky over a typical year.

The view from the Missouri bluffs

Bismarck and Mandan face each other across the Missouri, and the river has cut a broad trench through the plains. The bluffs above it, on both banks, are the natural viewpoints for a storm night: from up there the city lights fall away below, and the northern horizon stretches across the Missouri Coteau. Upstream, the river widens into Lake Sakakawea, whose shores northwest of Bismarck are among the darkest places in the central part of the state.

What Kp does this town need?

Kp to see aurora from here

5.3

Magnetic latitude (AACGM)55.4°
Kp for aurora overhead5.3
Storm levelG1 Minor
How often that level comesabout 900 days per 11-year cycle

View line: the more southern of the SWPC oval rule and the NOAA G scale latitudes at each Kp.

Check tonight’s forecast for your town →

A western sky

Bismarck is in the Central time zone but far to its west, so its clock runs well ahead of the Sun: solar midnight falls closer to 1 am than to midnight, and the dark window on December 15 runs from 6:45 PM to 6:31 AM. The most active hours of the aurora, which SWPC places around local midnight, therefore come later on the clock than in Fargo. The tool's hour strip takes that into account. Weather comes mostly from the west and northwest, and the semi-arid western half of the state is drier than the Red River Valley, though wind is more frequent.

Practical notes for a storm night

Interstate 94 and the river bridges carry most of the area's night traffic, and their lights reach a surprising distance across open country. A gravel section road a few miles north of the interstate is usually darker than a park inside the city. In winter, check the road conditions before leaving: blowing snow can close rural roads within an hour on the plains, even under a clear sky, and the coldest clear nights are also the ones when a stalled car becomes dangerous. Phones lose charge fast in that cold, so keep a spare battery inside your coat.

From here to the border

Every hundred miles north from Bismarck lowers the Kp needed: Minot needs about 4.6. For a strong storm, Bismarck itself is enough; for a weak one, the drive toward the Canadian border or the Turtle Mountains pays off. The North Dakota page lists every town, and the Fargo page covers the east of the state.

Kp needed around Bismarck

AACGM-v2 magnetic latitude at 110 km. Kp to see it: southern edge of visibility, the more southern of the SWPC oval rule and the NOAA G scale latitudes at each Kp (method page).
TownMagnetic latitudeKp to see itKp overheadStorm level
Grand Forks56.8°4.64.6no storm
Minot56.7°4.64.6no storm
Williston56.4°4.84.8G1 (Minor)
Fargo55.8°5.15.1G1 (Minor)
Bismarck55.4°5.35.3G1 (Minor)
Dickinson55.3°5.45.4G1 (Minor)

Darkness and clouds by month in Bismarck

Sun 18° below the horizon on the 15th of each month of 2027, local time (America/Chicago); cloud amount: NASA POWER Climatology API v2, CLOUD_AMT, January 2001 - December 2025 (CERES SYN1deg).
MonthDark hoursDark sky, 15thMean cloudClear dark hours
January11.4 h7:09 PM to 6:35 AM65%4.0 h
February10.2 h7:49 PM to 6:04 AM64%3.7 h
March8.7 h9:30 PM to 6:12 AM67%2.9 h
April6.6 h10:24 PM to 5:01 AM61%2.6 h
May4.3 h11:30 PM to 3:48 AM60%1.7 h
June2.4 h12:32 AM to 2:55 AM53%1.1 h
July3.4 h12:07 AM to 3:31 AM44%1.9 h
August5.8 h10:54 PM to 4:41 AM44%3.2 h
September8.0 h9:39 PM to 5:37 AM48%4.2 h
October9.7 h8:36 PM to 6:21 AM59%4.0 h
November11.1 h6:54 PM to 6:01 AM63%4.1 h
December11.8 h6:45 PM to 6:31 AM69%3.7 h

Other cities in North Dakota

Questions sky watchers ask

Can you see the northern lights from Bismarck, North Dakota?

Yes, on clear nights with a minor to moderate storm, about Kp 5.3. The best results come from outside the city, on the high ground north of town or along the Missouri, away from the lights of Bismarck and Mandan, with an unobstructed view to the north.

What Kp is needed for the aurora in Bismarck?

About Kp 5.3. That is slightly more than in Fargo, which needs 5.1, and less than in Rapid City or Billings. At Kp 5.3 the edge of the oval reaches Bismarck itself, so a G2 storm can light up a large part of the sky.

When is the best season for northern lights in Bismarck?

September leads by clear dark hours, followed by November and January. Mid-December gives 11.8 hours of full darkness and mid-June only 2.4, so summer chances are limited to the middle of the night, and long autumn evenings give the best balance between darkness, clear air and bearable temperatures.

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Data and references behind this page

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Publisher of a per-town northern lights forecast built on SWPC, NWS and astronomy data

Method and data updated on · Editorial policy · Contact

Forecast, not a promise: the Kp forecast is issued for three-hour blocks and storms arrive early, late or not at all; clouds move faster than any forecast. The answer is a rule applied to public data, explained on the method page, and it is for guidance only: it does not replace the official SWPC alerts or your own look at the sky.

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