South Dakota · 5 towns compared
Northern lights in South Dakota: tonight’s chance
South Dakota needs a moderate storm almost everywhere; its empty prairie and dry west make the most of one.
Tonight at Pierre, SD
…
Reading the SWPC Kp forecast and the cloud forecast…
| Kp forecast during the dark hours | not yet forecast |
|---|---|
| Kp needed here | 6.4 (G2 moderate) |
| Cloud cover in the dark hours | loading |
| Dark sky (Sun 18° down) | 8:36 PM to 6:18 AM CDT |
| Moon | 13% lit |
| Right now, OVATION (30 to 90 min) | loading or unavailable |
| Magnetic latitude (AACGM) | 53.1° |
Hour by hour, CDT
8 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
9 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
10 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
11 PM
Kp –
– ☁
No
12 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
1 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
2 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
3 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
4 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
5 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
6 AM
Kp –
– ☁
No
Rules checked · Built by Radif Partners · How the answer works
- Kp to see it from Pierre
- 6.4
- Storm level needed
- G2 (Moderate)
- Kp for aurora overhead
- 6.4
- Most clear dark hours
- November
In South Dakota a moderate geomagnetic storm is the usual requirement for the northern lights. In the AACGM model the state's towns sit between 52.6 and 54.3 degrees magnetic latitude: Aberdeen, in the northeast, needs a planetary Kp of about 5.8, Watertown about 6.0, Pierre 6.4, and both Rapid City and Sioux Falls about 6.5 to 6.5, a G2 (Moderate) storm on the NOAA scale. What the state offers is space. Outside its two cities, the prairie and the reservations of the center and west hold some of the darkest skies of the Great Plains. Pierre's NASA POWER cloud amount ranges from 43% in July to 67% in February, and its months with the most clear dark hours are November, September and October. The tool opens on Pierre; type your own town or ZIP code.
East river, west river
South Dakotans divide their state at the Missouri, and the river also separates two aurora landscapes. East river is farm country with many small towns, lakes left by the glaciers and the larger population of Sioux Falls, Brookings and Watertown. The northeast corner, around Aberdeen and the glacial lakes of the Coteau des Prairies, is the best placed part of the state magnetically, at Kp 5.8. West river is ranch land, with fewer roads, fewer lights and drier air, from the breaks of the Missouri to the Black Hills.
The thresholds differ by only about 0.6 Kp across the state, much less than the difference in sky quality between a farmyard light and a remote pasture. On a storm night the decision is mostly about where the darkness and the clear air are.
What Kp does this town need?
Kp to see aurora from here
5.8
| Magnetic latitude (AACGM) | 54.3° |
| Kp for aurora overhead | 5.8 |
| Storm level | G2 Moderate |
| How often that level comes | about 360 days per 11-year cycle |
View line: the more southern of the SWPC oval rule and the NOAA G scale latitudes at each Kp.
The Missouri reservoirs
A string of large reservoirs follows the Missouri through the middle of the state, Lake Oahe above Pierre among them. Their shores face long distances of open water and grassland, and the country around them is very thinly settled. Looking north up a reservoir from a high bank gives the kind of flat, dark horizon that an aurora at the edge of the range requires. Pierre itself is small enough that a few minutes of driving takes you out of its light.
What a G2 night looks like here
At the threshold, the aurora over South Dakota is a pale arch close to the northern horizon, steady for long minutes and then suddenly brighter when a substorm sends rays up from it. The eye often reads it as grey or white; a phone camera shows green at the bottom and, in stronger storms, red above. Above Kp 7 the rays climb toward the zenith and the red glow can spread across the northern half of the sky. Keep watching after the first peak: substorms often come in a series an hour or two apart on a storm night.
Seasons on the plains
Summer thunderstorms and short nights limit June and July, with about 3.6 hours of full darkness on June 15 in Pierre. Autumn brings long, often clear nights before the winter cold; winter adds hours of darkness but also cloud from passing systems and dangerous wind chill. The Rapid City page covers the Black Hills side of the state and the Sioux Falls page the southeast. For lower thresholds, the North Dakota page is the neighbor to check.
Kp needed across South Dakota
| Town | Magnetic latitude | Kp to see it | Kp overhead | Storm level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 54.3° | 5.8 | 5.8 | G2 (Moderate) |
| Watertown | 53.9° | 6.0 | 6.0 | G2 (Moderate) |
| Pierre | 53.1° | 6.4 | 6.4 | G2 (Moderate) |
| Sioux Falls | 52.6° | 6.5 | 6.7 | G2 (Moderate) |
| Rapid City | 52.5° | 6.5 | 6.7 | G2 (Moderate) |
Darkness and clouds by month in Pierre
| Month | Dark hours | Dark sky, 15th | Mean cloud | Clear dark hours |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 11.3 h | 7:10 PM to 6:30 AM | 66% | 3.8 h |
| February | 10.2 h | 7:47 PM to 6:02 AM | 67% | 3.3 h |
| March | 8.8 h | 9:24 PM to 6:14 AM | 67% | 2.9 h |
| April | 7.0 h | 10:12 PM to 5:09 AM | 61% | 2.7 h |
| May | 5.0 h | 11:08 PM to 4:06 AM | 59% | 2.0 h |
| June | 3.6 h | 11:54 PM to 3:28 AM | 51% | 1.7 h |
| July | 4.3 h | 11:39 PM to 3:55 AM | 43% | 2.5 h |
| August | 6.2 h | 10:38 PM to 4:52 AM | 44% | 3.5 h |
| September | 8.2 h | 9:31 PM to 5:42 AM | 45% | 4.5 h |
| October | 9.8 h | 8:33 PM to 6:20 AM | 54% | 4.5 h |
| November | 11.0 h | 6:54 PM to 5:57 AM | 57% | 4.8 h |
| December | 11.6 h | 6:47 PM to 6:25 AM | 66% | 3.9 h |